BM25: probabilistic but not a probability (daily search tip)


BM25 models the odds a term would be observed in a relevant document (vs the term occurring in an irrelevant doc).

It’s based on probabilistic relevance, capturing:

  • t - a query term match occurs
  • R - the doc is relevant

Queries of course contain multiple terms. How do we combine those odds? The odds of BOTH terms being in a relevant doc, we’d need to multiply Odds(t1) * Odds(t2).

If we take the log of these multiplied odds, we can take advantage of a property of logarithms: log(Odds(t1) * Odds(t2)) = log(Odds(t1)) + log(Odds(t2)). Or taken together across each term:

BM25 tries to model this!

How?

We can imagine cases where a term match would occur in a relevant doc (the numerator). Why might a term match occur an in an irrelevant doc?

  • The term’s ambiguous, not specific to the user’s intent. luke skywalker - luke occurs all over the place. It’s common. The rare term skywalker occurs only in only Star Wars → thats how we get Inverse Document Frequency.
  • The document is not ABOUT that term - A term occurring spuriously (low term frequency) would not mean the document is relevant. Or a term not being a large enough proportion of the text: Skywalker being mentioned a few times in a book length tome may just happen accidentally.

Through trial, error, and experimentation with open datasets we arrived at the exact BM25 formula.

That’s how we get a BM25 that’s probabilistic, but not a probability

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Reviewing Bayesian BM25 - a new approach to creating calibrated BM25 probabilities for hybrid search. I talk about this vs naive approaches I've used to do similar things. Enjoy! https://softwaredoug.com/blog/2026/03/06/probabilistic-bm25-utopia -Doug Events · Consulting · Training (use code search-tips) You're subscribed to Doug Turnbull's daily search tips where I share tips, blog articles, events, and more. You can always manage your profile:

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